“Last month, YouGov ran a poll we commissioned that found 58% of Californians in favor of seceding from the United States. YouGov’s Daily Questions Survey, run slightly earlier, found only 29% in favor. What could explain an almost thirty-point gap between two polls on the same subject run in the same month by the same reputable polling agency?
I’m at least 95% confident it came down to these three things. Our Independent California Poll:
- didn’t have a “Not Sure” option
- asked about peaceful secession
- asked about being “better off,” not whether California should secede”
https://ic.institute/2024/03/11/why-secession-pollsters-should-give-peace-a-chance/